Looking for the “immunological dark matter” of Dr. Karl Friston

the epidemic will be over when “excess death” falls below threshold

Source: CDC. Death data runs 3–4 weeks behind.
Deaths in selected European countries. Blue line is multi-year average death rate. Source: Bloomberg.
  • M1 humans crowd together more indoors in cold weather
  • M2 the virus can survive outside the body for longer in winter
  • M3 immune defenses in the respiratory tract are weaker in winter than in summer
  • M4 involves evolution of the virus
The equations governing the March Oxford model
An S-I (no R) model.

Will Bates writes about science, technology, and business. His journalism has appeared in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and numerous magazines.

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Will Bates

Will Bates

Will Bates writes about science, technology, and business. His journalism has appeared in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and numerous magazines.

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